Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.054319 0.061835 0.069623 0.078263 0.087551 0.097207 0.107975
2025-04-06 0.043405 0.054581 0.066846 0.081164 0.097279 0.114729 0.134923
2025-04-13 0.034390 0.047416 0.062469 0.080808 0.102224 0.126146 0.154596
2025-04-20 0.030821 0.045711 0.063614 0.086122 0.113097 0.143875 0.181144
2025-04-27 0.024916 0.040211 0.059440 0.084447 0.115237 0.151132 0.195380
2025-05-04 0.022072 0.038189 0.059189 0.087221 0.122438 0.164140 0.216210
2025-05-11 0.018454 0.034604 0.056513 0.086594 0.125198 0.171656 0.230418
2025-05-18 0.016483 0.033073 0.056332 0.088988 0.131590 0.183488 0.249768
2025-05-25 0.014605 0.031417 0.055781 0.090742 0.137065 0.194146 0.267698
2025-06-01 0.011863 0.028019 0.052467 0.088519 0.137213 0.198049 0.277278
2025-06-08 0.009587 0.025023 0.049444 0.086446 0.137355 0.201795 0.286556
2025-06-15 0.008762 0.024427 0.049929 0.089223 0.143895 0.213642 0.305926
2025-06-22 0.007678 0.023308 0.049685 0.091172 0.149677 0.225012 0.325380
2025-06-29 0.006995 0.022879 0.050520 0.094739 0.157783 0.239569 0.349135
2025-07-06 0.005706 0.020974 0.048801 0.094437 0.160531 0.247183 0.364168
2025-07-13 0.005575 0.021538 0.051194 0.100317 0.171905 0.266149 0.393767
2025-07-20 0.004321 0.019279 0.048591 0.098477 0.172391 0.270760 0.405016
2025-07-27 0.003887 0.018887 0.049188 0.101532 0.179783 0.284531 0.428086
2025-08-03 0.003074 0.017284 0.047462 0.100843 0.181766 0.291067 0.441822
2025-08-10 0.002718 0.016853 0.047846 0.103478 0.188532 0.304034 0.463949
2025-08-17 0.002339 0.016237 0.047815 0.105406 0.194259 0.315615 0.484313
2025-08-24 0.001671 0.014389 0.045200 0.102962 0.193465 0.318270 0.492931
2025-08-31 0.001153 0.012740 0.042779 0.100680 0.192791 0.321007 0.501603